Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.004672 0.005175 0.005695 0.006274 0.006899 0.007552 0.008285
2025-01-12 0.003782 0.004482 0.005247 0.006139 0.007148 0.008251 0.009541
2025-01-19 0.003276 0.004083 0.004996 0.006100 0.007390 0.008842 0.010590
2025-01-26 0.002865 0.003730 0.004742 0.006003 0.007517 0.009263 0.011416
2025-02-02 0.002573 0.003484 0.004581 0.005982 0.007705 0.009735 0.012287
2025-02-09 0.002324 0.003265 0.004428 0.005949 0.007859 0.010152 0.013084
2025-02-16 0.002187 0.003172 0.004419 0.006083 0.008212 0.010808 0.014175
2025-02-23 0.001983 0.002974 0.004259 0.006011 0.008292 0.011120 0.014841
2025-03-02 0.001836 0.002840 0.004172 0.006021 0.008470 0.011549 0.015653
2025-03-09 0.001778 0.002824 0.004237 0.006229 0.008905 0.012309 0.016892
2025-03-16 0.001678 0.002739 0.004202 0.006298 0.009154 0.012831 0.017834
2025-03-23 0.001606 0.002690 0.004211 0.006424 0.009477 0.013451 0.018910
2025-03-30 0.001540 0.002649 0.004233 0.006573 0.009843 0.014146 0.020113
2025-04-06 0.001389 0.002469 0.004048 0.006423 0.009795 0.014290 0.020595
2025-04-13 0.001284 0.002352 0.003945 0.006383 0.009893 0.014627 0.021332
2025-04-20 0.001172 0.002216 0.003806 0.006283 0.009899 0.014833 0.021893
2025-04-27 0.001090 0.002122 0.003725 0.006261 0.010013 0.015185 0.022654
2025-05-04 0.001012 0.002028 0.003639 0.006226 0.010103 0.015504 0.023371
2025-05-11 0.000979 0.002009 0.003668 0.006366 0.010449 0.016184 0.024595
2025-05-18 0.000902 0.001908 0.003561 0.006290 0.010474 0.016410 0.025189
2025-05-25 0.000849 0.001845 0.003511 0.006301 0.010625 0.016814 0.026037
2025-06-01 0.000840 0.001860 0.003591 0.006517 0.011088 0.017672 0.027536
2025-06-08 0.000803 0.001823 0.003581 0.006589 0.011333 0.018219 0.028599